I love proposition bets. Maybe its because during the regular season I bet on 10 games a week, so I want to make a lot of bets during the Super Bowl. Maybe its because I suck at picking them, and I enjoy losing money. Either way, there are hundreds of proposition bets, so I’ve picked out a couple that I will be betting on. My advice is keep it low. I bet 5 bucks on each of these.
Cardinals 1st half points +17.5 vs Steelers full game points
I don’t see the Steelers scoring a ton of points, so I think this is a solid bet. Will I be brave enough to pick the Cards to cover the final score?? Find out Tuesday(ish)
LeBron James made 3s pick em vs Kurt Warner TD passes
LeBron is averaging 1.3 threes a game. Warner is averaging 2 TD’s a game. Hmm. I think LeBron gets 2 threes, Warner might match him, but I don’t see him throwing 3 touchdown’s against Pittsburgh. Take LeBron and a push is the worst case scenario.
Rasheed Wallace points and rebounds -2.5 vs Cardinals first downs
Rasheed is averaging 19.5. Cardinals had 15 vs Atlanta, 16 vs Carolina, and 21 vs Philly. I’m thinking Pittsburgh’s D is going to keep this number relatively low.
Steelers/Cardinals 2nd qtr points -1.5 vs Magic made 3pt FGs
The Magic broke the record for 3’s in a game last week, but they are only averaging 10 threes a game. The 2nd quarter is favorite for highest scoring quarter. Root for FG as the teams go into halftime.
Super Bowl MVP: Ben Roethlisberger +175
If you think the Steelers are going to win, I say this is a much better bet than Steelers -250 on the money line.
Steelers score 1st and win the game - Even money
Another bet that makes the Steelers moneyline look like a sucker bet.
Player's jersey # to score first: Under 38.5:
Just to remind you, Willie Parker is #39, Santonio Holmes is #10, Larry Fitzgerald is #11, Troy Polamalu is #43.
No Safety -1300
No OT -1100
The game will not be decided by exactly 3 points -600
Total number of players with a pass attempt over 2.5 +160
Somebody will try to do something tricky, right? The Cardinals had that throw back play against Philadelphia, and Anquan Boldin played quarterback in college.
Ben Roethlisberger passing yards -35.5 vs Pennsylvania College Points
I saw this bet on sportsbook.com, and I was so shocked I had to call them and get clarification. I found out that it is Penn State’s total points (against Michigan State) vs Roetlisberger. Ummm, this is the biggest no brainer I have EVER seen. Ever.
Penn State’s high score on the year is 89 points. Roethlisberger has gone under 125 yards 4 times. Roethlisberger’s over under for the Super Bowl is 230.5
*Update* As I was typing this I talked myself into making another bet on this one, and sportsbook had removed the bet. I’m guessing my $50 bet really moved the line.
The coin toss! Heads or Tails? The odds are only -101, so it’s better than red/black roulette.
Jeff Reed says “tails never fails.”
Feel free to leave your favorite proposition bet in the comments.